Understanding the Cynefin framework for decision making in complexity

The Cynefin framework, developed by Dave Snowden, is designed to help leaders and organizations make decisions in complex and uncertain environments. It categorizes problems into five domains, each requiring different approaches to decision-making. Here’s a breakdown of the framework with real-world examples and how you can apply it to your startup.

The five domains of the Cynefin framework

  1. Clear (formerly Simple)
  • Description: Problems in this domain have clear cause-and-effect relationships. The solution is straightforward and can be best practices or standard operating procedures.
  • Example: A well-established customer service protocol. For instance, handling returns or refunds follows a standard process that is widely accepted.
  • Application: Document and implement best practices for routine tasks in your startup to ensure consistency and efficiency.
  1. Complicated
  • Description: Problems here have a clear relationship between cause and effect, but it requires expertise to identify the right solution. Analysis and expert knowledge are key.
  • Example: Developing a detailed financial forecast for a new product launch. This requires financial expertise and sophisticated tools to analyze data.
  • Application: Seek expert advice for complex issues and use specialized tools or methodologies. For your startup, this might involve hiring consultants or using advanced analytics.
  1. Complex
  • Description: In this domain, cause and effect can only be understood in retrospect. Patterns emerge through probing, experimenting, and learning.
  • Example: Innovating a new product feature. The outcome is uncertain, and success is achieved through experimentation and adaptation based on feedback.
  • Application: Experiment with different approaches and gather feedback. Use iterative development to test hypotheses and adjust based on results.
  1. Chaotic
  • Description: Problems are turbulent and have no clear relationship between cause and effect. The immediate goal is to stabilize the situation.
  • Example: A major IT system outage causing disruptions. The immediate response is to restore service and prevent further damage.
  • Application: Develop crisis management plans for unexpected situations. Focus on stabilizing the situation before analyzing and addressing the underlying causes.
  1. Aporetic (formerly Disorder)
  • Description: This domain represents situations where it’s unclear which of the other domains the problem fits into. The priority is to break down the issue into smaller parts and analyze.
  • Example: Entering a new market with little prior experience. Initially, it’s unclear whether the issues are clear, complicated, complex, or chaotic.
  • Application: Decompose the problem into smaller parts, assess each part’s characteristics, and address each according to its domain.

Applying the Cynefin framework to your startup

  1. Identify domain applicability
  • Assess: Regularly evaluate the nature of the problems or decisions you face in your startup.
  • Categorize: Determine whether the issue is clear, complicated, complex, chaotic, or aporetic.
  1. Use appropriate approaches
  • Clear: Develop and implement standard operating procedures for routine tasks.
  • Complicated: Involve experts and use detailed analysis for complex issues.
  • Complex: Embrace experimentation and iterative learning to discover solutions.
  • Chaotic: Focus on immediate stabilization and damage control.
  • Aporetic: Break down problems into manageable parts and analyze each separately.
  1. Develop a decision-making strategy
  • Adapt: Use the framework to guide your response strategies. Adjust approaches as you gather more information and understand the situation better.
  • Review: Regularly review outcomes and adapt your decision-making processes based on what you learn.

By understanding and applying the Cynefin framework, you can improve how you handle various types of problems and make more effective decisions in your startup.